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GJP: #1080 Will the Republic of Macedonia* be a NATO member before 1 April 2013?

Created by gwern on 2012-02-07; known on 2013-04-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-04-01.

  • gwern estimated 60% on 2012-02-07
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-04-01.