GJP: #1080 Will the Republic of Macedonia* be a NATO member before 1 April 2013?

Created by gwern on 2012-02-07; known on 2013-04-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-04-01.

• gwern estimated 60% on 2012-02-07
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-04-01.