GJP: #1081 Will the Nigerian government and Boko Haram commence official talks before 31 December 2012?

Created by gwern on 2012-02-07; known on 2012-12-31; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-12-31.

• gwern estimated 45% on 2012-02-07
• gwern said “seeing reports of secret or indirect talks, but not official ones. and boko haram’s attacks are becoming ugly enough to make Western news… marking wrong” on 2012-12-31
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-12-31.