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Daily average click-through to DNB FAQ will be be <5% during the Talk-only period as compared to the previous Article-only period, and the difference will be significant at p<0.05

Created by gwern on 2012-02-09; known on 2012-05-21; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-05-20.

  • gwern estimated 80% on 2012-02-09
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-05-20.
  • gwern said “false because it was 17%; the significance was p-value < 2.2e-16, however.on 2012-05-20