There will be strong indications of extrasolar life by 2016.

Created by anonym on 2009-10-17; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by muflax on 2016-01-01.

• anonym estimated 75% on 2009-10-17
• ChristianKl estimated 20% on 2009-10-17
• freyley estimated 10% on 2009-10-18
• Jack estimated 5% on 2009-10-18
• mjgeddes estimated 20% on 2009-10-19
• flovv   judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-19.
• Jack   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-19.
• faws estimated 22% on 2009-10-22
• gwern estimated 10% on 2010-09-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 22% on 2011-09-02
• NathanMcKnight   judged this prediction right on 2011-11-02.
• muflax   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-11-02.
• muflax estimated 5% on 2011-11-02
• lavalamp estimated 1% on 2011-11-10
• muflax   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.