Indian Supreme Court rules in favour of Novartis.

Created by Anubhav on 2012-02-17; known on 2013-03-27; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-04-01.

• Anubhav estimated 10% on 2012-02-17
• Anubhav said “http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/article2427529.ece ; http://www.newint.org/features/web-exclusive/2011/11/29/novartis-india-patent-case/” on 2012-02-17
• Anubhav changed the deadline from “on 2012-07-01” on 2012-07-01
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 30% on 2012-07-08
• gwern estimated 40% and said “still in progress, bumping: http://www.foxbusiness.com/news/2012/09/11/india-supreme-court-starts-hearing-novartis-plea-in-glivec-patent-case/ http://finance.yahoo.com/news/novartis-india-jumps-ahead-court-085404406.html” on 2012-09-24
• Anubhav changed the deadline from “on 2012-08-01” on 2012-09-24
• RandomThinker estimated 55% on 2012-09-25
• JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2012-09-25
• Anubhav changed the deadline from “on 2012-11-01” on 2012-11-04
• Qiaochu estimated 20% and said “http://asiasentinel.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=4949&Itemid=225” on 2012-11-09
• Qiaochu said “As far as I can tell, this case hasn’t been decided yet. Want to push the deadline forward? ” on 2012-12-03
• gwern said ““We expect to have a decision sometime before the end of Q1 of 2013.”” on 2012-12-27
• Anubhav changed the deadline from “on 2012-12-01” on 2012-12-27
• gwern said “http://pipeline.corante.com/archives/2013/04/01/novartis_loses_the_glivec_patent_fight_in_india.php” on 2013-04-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-04-01.