The final name for the SI spinoff currently called “rationality org” will be announced on Less Wrong within a week.
Created by beo_shaffer on 2012-02-18; known on 2012-02-25; judged wrong by Anubhav on 2012-02-28.
- beo_shaffer estimated 15% on 2012-02-18
- beo_shaffer changed the deadline from “on 2012-02-22” and changed their prediction from “The final name for the SI spinoff currently called “rationality org” will be announced on Less Wrong within the next week.” on 2012-02-18
- beo_shaffer changed their prediction from “The final name for the SI spinoff currently called “rationality org” will be announced on Less Wrong within the a week.” on 2012-02-18
-
Grognor
said “well, the name
isalready known. I guess it hasn’t been “announced on Less Wrong” yet, but who cares?” on 2012-02-18 - Anubhav said “^ Source? ” on 2012-02-18
- Grognor said “https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/viewform?formkey=dDhnS1RaNWc0NGFiZEY2ZVV2NjgyRHc6MA” on 2012-02-23
- beo_shaffer said “There is a link to https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/viewform?formkey=dDhnS1RaNWc0NGFiZEY2ZVV2NjgyRHc6MA in a LW comment which is pushing it but I guess counts.” on 2012-02-27
- beo_shaffer judged this prediction right on 2012-02-27.
- gwern said “I really think that is pushing it, personally. a spreadsheet is not an announcement…” on 2012-02-27
- Anubhav judged this prediction wrong on 2012-02-28.
- Anubhav said “No, it isn’t. (What’s the etiquette for when the creator of a prediction judges it in a way which most observers would agree is bizarre?)” on 2012-02-28
- Jayson Virissimo said “The prediction statement includes the string “on Less Wrong”. If you mark this correct I would expect a link to a lesswrong.com URL as evidence.” on 2012-02-28