I will be selected for OpenSNP's free 23AndMe genotyping.
Created by gwern on 2012-02-20; known on 2012-04-10; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-04-10.
- gwern estimated 20% on 2012-02-20
- gwern said “I’ve applied, obviously; see https://opensnp.wordpress.com/2012/02/20/apply-now-for-a-free-genotyping/” on 2012-02-20
- Anubhav estimated 10% and said “Looks like they’re going to discriminate against WEIRDs. Then again, I don’t think they’ll get many non-WEIRD applications; 23andMe ships only to Western countries. https://www.23andme.com/you/faqwin/beforeyoubuyinternational/” on 2012-02-21
- Jayson Virissimo said “Anubhav, with a little creativity, you can use their service even if you are outside the “Western countries”.” on 2012-02-21
- Anubhav said “I was making an observation about OpenSNP’s professed aims, not my inability to get hold of a 23AndMe kit.” on 2012-02-21
- gwern said “>450 applications https://opensnp.wordpress.com/2012/03/26/update-on-the-free-genotypings-and-new-features-on-opensnp/ 26 March; not been contacted, so I’m marking wrong” on 2012-04-10
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2012-04-10.