GJP: #1092 Will Myanmar release at least 100 more political prisoners between 21 February 2012 and 1 April 2012?

Created by gwern on 2012-02-21; known on 2012-04-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-04-03.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2012-02-21
• gwern said “reading the news articles, it feels like they’re kind of ‘done’; there may be more releases, but I don’t see the total jumping by another third in a bit over a week.” on 2012-02-21
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-04-03.