GJP: #1091 Will Standard and Poor's downgrade Japan's Foreign Long Term credit rating at any point between 21 February 2012 and 1 April 2012?

Created by gwern on 2012-02-21; known on 2012-04-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-04-03.

• gwern estimated 30% on 2012-02-21
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-04-03.