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GJP: #1095 Will there be a significant* outbreak of H5N1 in China in 2012?

Created by gwern on 2012-02-21; known on 2013-01-04; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-04.

  • gwern estimated 35% on 2012-02-21
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-04.