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GJP: #1093 Will at least one Taliban representative be appointed to serve as a minister in the Afghan government before 1 January 2013?

Created by gwern on 2012-02-21; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 30% on 2012-02-21
  • smijer estimated 51% on 2012-02-24
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.