In 2070 there will be a human alive with age 150 or older.

Created by ChristianKl on 2009-10-17; known on 2070-12-31

• ChristianKl estimated 45% on 2009-10-17
• Larks estimated 60% on 2009-10-17
• anonym estimated 5% on 2009-10-17
• Jack estimated 1% and said “How can this have a higher probability then the other age prediction. Anyone 150 in 2070 was 140 in 2060. ” on 2009-10-18
• Arenamontanus estimated 70% on 2009-10-19
• jshiga estimated 7% on 2009-10-19
• gwern estimated 70% and said “I should note that I count psychological survivors (eg. uploads) as meeting this and the other prediction, as well as a cryonics revival.” on 2010-07-29
• Nic_Smith estimated 65% on 2010-11-26
• kallman estimated 1% and said “That person would have to be 90 today. Even if the tech magically appeared tomorrow…” on 2010-11-26
• Nic_Smith estimated 10% and said “Updating on Kallman’s comment” on 2011-05-08
• PseudonymousUser estimated 8% on 2011-08-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2011-08-10
• amcknight estimated 2% and said “Kallman makes a great point” on 2011-11-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 10% and said “Closer to consistent with my other predictions on aging. ” on 2011-11-16
• Anubhav estimated 1% on 2011-11-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 3% and said “Updating to increased pessismism about life extension technology. ” on 2011-11-17
• Tuxedage estimated 60% on 2012-06-10
• RandomThinker estimated 1% on 2012-06-10
• chimpsky estimated 0% on 2012-06-10
• saturn estimated 20% on 2012-09-21
• Malgidus estimated 75% and said “With cryonics, 60% otherwise. They are 93 now. One alive may live to 2042, probably can increase lifespan by then.” on 2013-03-27
• gwern estimated 30% and said “looking at the GRG mortality records, super-centenarians have been doing very badly; even if the tech exists for uploads or whatever, there may well be no one left of the right age to use it for this prediction” on 2014-10-06
• pranomostro estimated 40% on 2018-11-25
• Baeboo estimated 30% on 2018-11-26
• deleteyourbrain estimated 0% on 2019-04-26