Conditional on competing in figure skating in the 2014 Winter Olympics, Yuna Kim will win a gold medal

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2012-02-28; known on 2014-02-23; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2014-02-20.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 64% on 2012-02-28
• PseudonymousUser said “will withdraw if doesn’t compete” on 2012-02-28
• PseudonymousUser said “https://secure.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/wiki/Yuna_kim#Detailed_results” on 2012-02-28
• gwern estimated 50% on 2012-02-28
• PseudonymousUser estimated 50% on 2012-06-03
• PseudonymousUser said “silver. gold went to Adelina Sotnikova” on 2014-02-20
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-02-20.