by 2017 at least 8 states will have legalized recreational use of marijuana.

Created by woodse on 2015-01-16; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2017-01-01.

• woodse estimated 75% on 2015-01-16
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-02
• gwern said “8 states now: Alaska, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Nevada, Oregon and Washington https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legality_of_cannabis_by_U.S._jurisdiction marking right” on 2017-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2017-01-01.