An off-planet Playboy club is operational before 2030.

Created by Anubhav on 2012-03-05; known on 2030-01-01

• Anubhav estimated 20% on 2012-03-05
• Anubhav said “http://www.space.com/14666-playboy-space-club-images-private-stations.html” on 2012-03-05
• Anubhav said “Related: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5945” on 2012-03-05
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 15% on 2012-03-05
• gwern estimated 5% and said “playboy can’t even run its restaurant/club chain on land any more; in space? I’d love to see the reasoning behind a 20%…” on 2012-03-05
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% and said “2” on 2012-03-05
• JoshuaZ said “Er,comment got cut off. That should be “20% or so chance that there will be serious commercial space tourism by then, chance for specific company is really tiny”” on 2012-03-05
• Anubhav said “gwern: Huh? First I’ve heard of that… Is it because of local laws or financial troubles?” on 2012-03-06
• gwern said “financial. they just weren’t well run or popular enough after the 70s or whenever” on 2012-03-06
• Anubhav estimated 4% and said “That… drastically brings down my estimate.” on 2012-03-06
• RandomThinker estimated 5% and said “More likely a Playboy club will be advertised as “out of this world” than actually being out of this world.” on 2012-03-06
• Serge estimated 5% and said “Very unlikely.” on 2012-03-06
• saturn estimated 1% on 2012-03-26
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-10
• pranomostro estimated 1% on 2018-12-15
• n99 estimated 0% on 2022-10-28