The US will have have laws or regulations to outlaw normal people destroying drones by end of 2022 (10 years from now)

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-03-06; known on 2022-12-31

• RandomThinker estimated 67% on 2012-03-06
• RandomThinker changed the deadline from “on 2012-03-06” on 2012-03-06
• RandomThinker said “Drones are people my friend!” on 2012-03-06
• Anubhav estimated 30% on 2012-03-06
• gwern said “aren’t there already laws against destroying private or government property?” on 2012-03-06
• Anubhav said “He’s talking about a specific law against drone destruction.” on 2012-03-06
• Jayson Virissimo said “This is too ambiguous. What would be a sufficient condition for judging this true? On the most reasonable interpretations I can think of, this is already true, or else is extremely unlikely (like a law specifically mentioning “drones”).” on 2012-03-06
• Anubhav said “I read this as the latter. (Except I’ll include whatever the DCspeak for ‘drone’ is at that point.)” on 2012-03-06
• RandomThinker said “Good point gwern. I would include existing laws but only if people recognize them as applying to drones. Like someone is actually caught or threatened with them. Not sure what the present law is, I think it’s unclear. Not so in 10 yrs.” on 2012-03-06
• Anubhav said “1. Try to destroy a drone. 2. See if they charge you with anything. 3. ??? 4. Profit!! (Destroying a drone you don’t own is unambiguously illegal.)” on 2012-03-06
• RandomThinker said “Wait till you see these quadrotor drones, then ponder if they’ll be >> people.http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/technology/2012/03/quadrotor_drones_are_amazing_and_cute_and_they_will_probably_destroy_us_all_.html” on 2012-03-06
• Anubhav said “<facepalm> We thought you were talking about military drones. (As in, remote-piloted aircraft)” on 2012-03-06
• RandomThinker said “military and civil. They will be used for both” on 2012-03-06
• Anubhav said “btw, the hell is with the repeated references to “people”?” on 2012-03-06
• Anubhav said “^^ These http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unmanned_aerial_vehicle are drones. Quadrotors are not. ” on 2012-03-06
• Anubhav said “(OK, apparently quadrotors are called ‘drones’ too.)” on 2012-03-06
• RandomThinker said “Fine. The quadrotor is just a cool future application. It doesn’t detract from the question. Drones will get smaller over time and be more personal I’m sure.” on 2012-03-06
• Anubhav estimated 3% and said “Revising downward drastically if we’re talking about small robots as well. It’s far easier for them to be deployed against government than in favour of governments.” on 2012-03-06
• RandomThinker said “@Anubhav I mean “both” in the sense of either-or, although I think both govt and private drones will be privileged over normal people in this time frame.” on 2012-03-06
• Anubhav said “How does a law forbidding destruction ‘privilege them above people’? It’s illegal to destroy people as well.” on 2012-03-07
• RandomThinker said “@Anubhav If you had a person trespass or invade your privacy, you’ll have more recourse than a drone. You can’t talk to a drone, or harass them so you can only destroy or hack them, both of which will be illegal. ” on 2012-03-07
• Ben Doherty estimated 51% and said “It might be only drones with specific duties. In the same way that a police dog is considered an officer a drone may gain that status, and then destroying a drone would be assaulting an office in the course of them discharging their duty.” on 2012-03-07
• RandomThinker said “FAA allows some drones. What if one is flying over you and you shoot it down? http://news.cnet.com/8301-11386_3-57611439-76/faa-cautiously-agrees-to-some-use-of-civilian-drones/” on 2013-11-08
• RandomThinker said “People will eventually become 2nd class to drones, just like we’re second class to the IP in our software. Like DMCA, software can hack you, but you can’t hack software.” on 2013-11-08
• a0c4a123f7 estimated 80% and said “’inc existing laws – if – recognize – applying to drones. ’http://thetandd.com/animal-rights-group-says-drone-shot-down/article_017a720a-56ce-11e1-afc4-001871e3ce6c.html‘Malicious damage of property.’” on 2013-11-10
• RandomThinker said “Now big corps have bought drones, it’ll def be destruction of property to shoot down a drone. http://www.nytimes.com/2014/04/16/opinion/game-of-drones.html?hp&rref=opinion” on 2014-04-16
• RandomThinker said “Someone’s been arrested for shooting a drone last year.http://www.slate.com/blogs/future_tense/2014/10/03/new_jersey_man_shoots_down_drone_over_his_property_gets_arrested.html” on 2015-07-05
• RandomThinker said “But so far, only on unlawful weapon charges. But man on drone violence is increasing, cause who wants drones buzzing over their property? What if the drones can bear arms?” on 2015-07-05
• RandomThinker said “Of course, media has as expected, zero sympathy for ordinary people. People will become 2nd class citizens to drones! ” on 2015-07-05
• RandomThinker said “http://www.slate.com/blogs/future_tense/2015/06/29/court_rules_that_neighbor_has_to_pay_for_drone_he_shot_down.htmlEven closer person has to pay damages to drone.” on 2015-07-05
• RandomThinker said “No surprise, VCs think drones > people. http://www.slate.com/blogs/future_tense/2015/06/29/court_rules_that_neighbor_has_to_pay_for_drone_he_shot_down.html” on 2015-07-05
• RandomThinker said “Issue is not airspace, issue is you can’t warn away a drone. Just like robocalls – you can’t communicate with it.” on 2015-07-05
• RandomThinker said “Wrong link: http://venturebeat.com/2015/02/18/no-you-cant-shoot-down-drones-over-your-house/ for VC point of view.” on 2015-07-05
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2015-07-06
• RandomThinker said “MR has a series now on Drone Wars. It’s beginning.http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2015/10/the-drone-wars-have-begun-a-continuing-series.html#comments” on 2015-10-30
• RandomThinker said “Who thinks the state isn’t going to protect the drone owning class over the drone harassed class?” on 2015-10-30
• RandomThinker said “Drones are people my friend!” on 2015-10-30
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-10