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GJP: #1100 Will the Colombian government and FARC commence official talks before 1 January 2013?

Created by gwern on 2012-03-06; known on 2013-01-02; judged right by gwern on 2013-01-02.

  • gwern estimated 40% on 2012-03-06
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-02.