GJP: #1098 Will a foreign or multinational military force fire on, invade, or enter Syria between 6 March 2012 and 31 December 2012?

Created by gwern on 2012-03-06; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2012-03-06
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.