GJP: #1104 Will Yemeni government forces regain control of the towns of Jaar and Zinjibar from Al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) before 1 April 2012?

Created by gwern on 2012-03-06; known on 2012-04-02; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-04-03.

• gwern estimated 30% on 2012-03-06
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-04-03.