GJP: #1103 Before 1 April 2012, will the Sudan and South Sudan governments officially announce an agreement on oil transit fees?
Created by gwern on 2012-03-06; known on 2012-04-02; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-04-03.
- gwern estimated 35% on 2012-03-06
- RandomThinker estimated 15% and said “Way lower.” on 2012-03-06
- gwern estimated 0% and said “Random: gotta keep in mind my ignorance of the issues” on 2012-04-03
- gwern estimated 35% and said “whups” on 2012-04-03
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2012-04-03.