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GJP: #1099 Before 1 April 2012, will Al-Saadi Gaddafi be extradited to Libya?

Created by gwern on 2012-03-06; known on 2012-04-02; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-04-03.

  • gwern estimated 45% on 2012-03-06
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-04-03.