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GJP: #1097 Will Tunisia officially announce an extension of its current state of emergency before 1 April 2012?

Created by gwern on 2012-03-06; known on 2012-04-02; judged right by gwern on 2012-04-04.

  • gwern estimated 65% on 2012-03-06
  • tw4567 estimated 60% on 2012-03-09
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-04-04.
  • gwern said “the overall GJP pool estimated only 13%! guess I got lucky with this one” on 2012-04-04