Scientists will confirm discovery of Higgs Boson by end of 2012

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-03-07; known on 2013-01-16; judged right by gwern on 2013-01-26.

• RandomThinker estimated 30% on 2012-03-07
• quintopia estimated 70% and said “Already confirmed to four sigma at ~125GeV” on 2012-06-18
• Leo estimated 60% on 2012-06-18
• RandomThinker said “Looks like they did. Score 1 for scientists. http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/05/science/cern-physicists-may-have-discovered-higgs-boson-particle.html?hpw” on 2012-07-07
• RandomThinker said “Hmm on second read, its only Higgs-like. "For now, some physicists are simply calling it a “Higgslike” particle. Not quite yet…” on 2012-07-07
• gwern said “it’s treated by pretty much everyone as the higgs. I’m going to just mark this right” on 2013-01-26
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-26.
• RandomThinker said “@gwern year seems like everyone says it’s the higg. The “-like” part seems to have disappeared.” on 2013-01-26