HP MoR: Hat & Cloak is not a character from canon. He is, in fact, a character from an anime.

Created by Anubhav on 2012-03-15; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-26.

• Anubhav estimated 0% on 2012-03-15
• Anubhav said “About as likely as some of the theories floating around on the discussion thread.” on 2012-03-15
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2012-03-16
• spqr0a1 estimated 1% on 2012-03-16
• Leo estimated 15% and said “Don’t forget historical and folklore characters in anime, nor subtle shout-outs.” on 2012-03-19
• gwern estimated 5% and said “that’d be possible if he were a bit character, but by this point…” on 2012-03-19
• Anubhav said “Leo: I wouldn’t count him as an anime character unless he’s an anime original character.” on 2012-03-20
• Grognor estimated 2% on 2012-03-21
• ahartell estimated 0% on 2012-03-22
• gryffinp estimated 0% and said “Oh come on.” on 2012-03-23
• saturn estimated 1% on 2012-03-27
• RobertLumley estimated 0% on 2012-03-29
• Isaac estimated 0% on 2012-04-04
• Anubhav changed their prediction from “Hat & Cloak is not a character from canon. He is, in fact, a character from an anime.” on 2012-04-09
• Anubhav changed their prediction from “_HP MoR-: Hat & Cloak is not a character from canon. He is, in fact, a character from an anime.” on 2012-04-09
• quicklystarfish estimated 1% on 2012-04-10
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 0% and said “0.1%” on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 0% on 2012-04-20
• Sarokrae estimated 0% on 2012-04-29
• Oscar_Cunningham   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-26.