HP MoR: Humans can be irrevocably transformed into House-Elves, and this is revealed in chapter 80.
Created by Anubhav on 2012-03-19; known on 2012-03-22; judged wrong by Anubhav on 2012-03-23.
- Anubhav estimated 40% on 2012-03-19
- Leo estimated 10% on 2012-03-19
- gwern estimated 7% and said “way too specific, and if humans could, one would expect it to be a judicial sentence – perhaps below azkaban” on 2012-03-19
- Anubhav said “Or for settling debts to Noble Houses. (That’s the context this idea’s floating around in.) The text does kinda sorta imply it, but I (and others who came up with/bought into it it) could just be reading too much into a few jokes.” on 2012-03-20
- JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2012-03-20
- Anubhav judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-23.
- Anubhav changed their prediction from “Humans can be irrevocably transformed into House-Elves, and this is revealed in chapter 80.” on 2012-04-09
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