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HP MoR: Humans can be irrevocably transformed into House-Elves, and this is revealed in chapter 80.

Created by Anubhav on 2012-03-19; known on 2012-03-22; judged wrong by Anubhav on 2012-03-23.

  • Anubhav estimated 40% on 2012-03-19
  • Leo estimated 10% on 2012-03-19
  • gwern estimated 7% and said “way too specific, and if humans could, one would expect it to be a judicial sentence – perhaps below azkabanon 2012-03-19
  • Anubhav said “Or for settling debts to Noble Houses. (That’s the context this idea’s floating around in.) The text does kinda sorta imply it, but I (and others who came up with/bought into it it) could just be reading too much into a few jokes.on 2012-03-20
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2012-03-20
  • Anubhav   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-23.
  • Anubhav changed their prediction from “Humans can be irrevocably transformed into House-Elves, and this is revealed in chapter 80.” on 2012-04-09