Rand Paul will be the Republican Nominee for President for the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Season

Created by Faceh on 2015-01-25; known on 2016-07-21; judged wrong by Faceh on 2016-05-03.

• Faceh estimated 20% on 2015-01-25
• rebellionkid estimated 10% on 2015-01-25
• orthonormal estimated 10% and said “Just copying Nate Silver’s odds.” on 2015-01-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 12% on 2015-01-29
• doxievee estimated 35% on 2015-01-31
• JoshuaZ said “Doxievee, can you explain why you assign this such a high probability given the large field of candidates? ” on 2015-01-31
• sweeneyrod estimated 10% on 2015-02-03
• alancamera estimated 3% on 2015-02-03
• RobertLumley estimated 5% on 2015-02-07
• JoshuaZ said “Note http://predictionbook.com/predictions/85157 is the same prediction. ” on 2015-04-15
• orthonormal said “I think you mean it will be known in July 2016, not this July.” on 2015-06-02
• Madplatypus estimated 4% on 2015-06-28
• Faceh changed the deadline from “on 2015-07-21” on 2015-07-15
• Faceh   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-05-03.