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HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be threaten to destroy Azkaban

Created by gwern on 2012-03-23; known on 2012-03-28; judged right by Grognor on 2012-03-28.

  • gwern estimated 10% on 2012-03-23
  • gwern said “if Eliezer goes this way, I will be very disappointed.on 2012-03-23
  • Anubhav estimated 5% and said “I still think setting fire to his hair and running in circles, screaming, would be a better solution.on 2012-03-23
  • HonoreDB estimated 4% on 2012-03-23
  • beo_shaffer estimated 15% on 2012-03-23
  • Alsadius estimated 1% and said “This is dumb – he’d be better to just assault the prison instead of threatening to. Still, not impossible.on 2012-03-23
  • Rejoyce estimated 5% on 2012-03-23
  • quicklystarfish estimated 5% and said “If his dark side can’t come up with anything else, it’s conceivable it could go with this.on 2012-03-23
  • Isaac estimated 10% on 2012-03-23
  • Grognor estimated 2% and said “agree with Alsadiuson 2012-03-23
  • quicklystarfish estimated 0% on 2012-03-25
  • lavalamp estimated 5% on 2012-03-26
  • gimpf estimated 1% on 2012-03-27
  • Grognor   judged this prediction right on 2012-03-28.
  • gwern said “ehh.. he does threaten it, but it’s not actually part of the solution. wrong?on 2012-03-28
  • Grognor said “if he didn’t do it, dumbledore wouldn’t have backed down. I think that suffices for a Right. what about other people thoughon 2012-03-28
  • gwern changed their prediction from “HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be threaten to destroy Azkaban” on 2012-04-09

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