HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be accept Hermione's imprisonment but order the Dementors to leave her alone

Created by gwern on 2012-03-23; known on 2012-03-28; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-03-28.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2012-03-23
• gwern said “leave her alone for… what? her entire life sentence? can Dementors even remember that long?” on 2012-03-23
• Anubhav estimated 1% and said “He’d break her out long before her sentence ended.” on 2012-03-23
• HonoreDB estimated 6% on 2012-03-23
• beo_shaffer estimated 20% on 2012-03-23
• Rejoyce said “If done AFTER Hermione goes to Azkaban, 80% this. 10% chance if during the trial.” on 2012-03-23
• quicklystarfish estimated 0% and said “0.25%” on 2012-03-23
• Isaac estimated 5% on 2012-03-23
• lavalamp estimated 5% on 2012-03-26
• gimpf estimated 5% on 2012-03-27
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-28.
• gwern changed their prediction from “HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be accept Hermione's imprisonment but order the Dementors to leave her alone” on 2012-04-09