HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be accept Hermione's imprisonment but order the Dementors to leave her alone

Created by gwern on 2012-03-23; known on 2012-03-28; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-03-28.

  • gwern estimated 5% on 2012-03-23
  • gwern said “leave her alone for… what? her entire life sentence? can Dementors even remember that long?on 2012-03-23
  • Anubhav estimated 1% and said “He’d break her out long before her sentence ended.on 2012-03-23
  • HonoreDB estimated 6% on 2012-03-23
  • beo_shaffer estimated 20% on 2012-03-23
  • Rejoyce said “If done AFTER Hermione goes to Azkaban, 80% this. 10% chance if during the trial.on 2012-03-23
  • quicklystarfish estimated 0% and said “0.25%on 2012-03-23
  • Isaac estimated 5% on 2012-03-23
  • lavalamp estimated 5% on 2012-03-26
  • gimpf estimated 5% on 2012-03-27
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-28.
  • gwern changed their prediction from “HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be accept Hermione's imprisonment but order the Dementors to leave her alone” on 2012-04-09

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