HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be have Quirrel make Bella confess to the crime

Created by gwern on 2012-03-23; known on 2012-03-28; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-03-28.

  • gwern estimated 8% on 2012-03-23
  • gwern said “I don’t think Quirrel, much less Bellatrix, is even reachable by Harry at this point even with the timeturneron 2012-03-23
  • Anubhav estimated 0% on 2012-03-23
  • HonoreDB estimated 0% on 2012-03-23
  • beo_shaffer estimated 0% on 2012-03-23
  • quicklystarfish estimated 2% on 2012-03-23
  • Isaac estimated 0% on 2012-03-23
  • lavalamp estimated 5% on 2012-03-26
  • gimpf estimated 2% on 2012-03-27
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-28.
  • gwern changed their prediction from “HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be have Quirrel make Bella confess to the crime” on 2012-04-09

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