HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be using the Time-turner to alter Hermione's testimony to something easily falsifiable

Created by gwern on 2012-03-23; known on 2012-03-28; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-03-28.

• gwern estimated 13% on 2012-03-23
• gwern said “it is a little suspicious that he didn’t hear it.” on 2012-03-23
• Anubhav estimated 1% on 2012-03-23
• HonoreDB estimated 2% on 2012-03-23
• beo_shaffer estimated 5% on 2012-03-23
• Rejoyce estimated 0% on 2012-03-23
• quicklystarfish estimated 2% on 2012-03-23
• Isaac estimated 10% on 2012-03-23
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2012-03-25
• lavalamp estimated 2% on 2012-03-26
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-28.
• gwern changed their prediction from “HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be using the Time-turner to alter Hermione's testimony to something easily falsifiable” on 2012-04-09