HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be using the Time-turner to smuggle Hermione out under the Cloak

Created by gwern on 2012-03-23; known on 2012-03-28; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-03-28.

  • gwern estimated 15% on 2012-03-23
  • gwern said “very close to complete failure – hermione would be an exile?on 2012-03-23
  • Anubhav estimated 0% on 2012-03-23
  • HonoreDB estimated 8% on 2012-03-23
  • beo_shaffer estimated 2% on 2012-03-23
  • Rejoyce estimated 3% on 2012-03-23
  • quicklystarfish estimated 1% on 2012-03-23
  • Isaac estimated 5% on 2012-03-23
  • JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2012-03-25
  • RobertLumley estimated 5% on 2012-03-26
  • lavalamp estimated 2% on 2012-03-26
  • gimpf estimated 10% on 2012-03-27
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-28.
  • gwern changed their prediction from “HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be using the Time-turner to smuggle Hermione out under the Cloak” on 2012-04-09

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