HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be using the Time-turner to smuggle Hermione out under the Cloak

Created by gwern on 2012-03-23; known on 2012-03-28; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-03-28.

• gwern estimated 15% on 2012-03-23
• gwern said “very close to complete failure – hermione would be an exile?” on 2012-03-23
• Anubhav estimated 0% on 2012-03-23
• HonoreDB estimated 8% on 2012-03-23
• beo_shaffer estimated 2% on 2012-03-23
• Rejoyce estimated 3% on 2012-03-23
• quicklystarfish estimated 1% on 2012-03-23
• Isaac estimated 5% on 2012-03-23
• JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2012-03-25
• RobertLumley estimated 5% on 2012-03-26
• lavalamp estimated 2% on 2012-03-26
• gimpf estimated 10% on 2012-03-27
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-28.
• gwern changed their prediction from “HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be using the Time-turner to smuggle Hermione out under the Cloak” on 2012-04-09