HP MoR: Harry will confess to having arranged the attempted murder of Malfoy.

Created by beo_shaffer on 2012-03-23; known on 2012-03-28; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-03-28.

• beo_shaffer estimated 4% on 2012-03-23
• gwern estimated 5% and said “as pointed out by many, Occlumens” on 2012-03-23
• Anubhav estimated 10% on 2012-03-23
• Isaac estimated 2% on 2012-03-23
• Grognor estimated 1% on 2012-03-23
• JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2012-03-25
• RobertLumley estimated 5% on 2012-03-26
• lavalamp estimated 10% on 2012-03-26
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-28.
• beo_shaffer changed their prediction from “HP MoR Harry will confess to having arranged the attempted murder of Malfoy.” on 2012-04-09