Screens will not be the primary form of interface with mobile devices by 2025

Created by Ben Doherty on 2012-03-24; known on 2025-01-16

• Ben Doherty estimated 30% on 2012-03-24
• gwern estimated 10% and said “as opposed to what?” on 2012-03-25
• RandomThinker estimated 15% and said “Assume you mean phones. Screens are still most convenient way to interact with them for a while. ” on 2012-03-31
• Ben Doherty said “I left it as mobile devices because phones is a bit function specific, phoning is a party minority function for me with my phone! Something like the google glass idea, or some of the android ski goggles is what I had in mind initially, but…” on 2012-04-10
• RandomThinker said “They may be a whole new type of mobile devices by then, in addition to the phone. Some kind of body sensor device. Some kind of smartphone will still be around by 2025 though, look at the PC, still going after 25 years, and with screen + keyboard.” on 2012-04-10
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-10
• pranomostro estimated 12% on 2018-12-15
• n99 estimated 1% on 2022-10-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2022-10-28