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HP MoR: ch 85 (or sooner): Dumbledore will realize where and when did Harry had an opportunity not just to terrify Dementors, but to gain enough confidence in this achievement.

Created by mat33 on 2012-04-01; known on 2012-06-10; judged wrong by HonoreDB on 2012-04-23.

  • mat33 estimated 80% on 2012-04-01
  • Anubhav estimated 30% on 2012-04-02
  • Anubhav said “Translation: Before chapter 86, Dumbledore will realize that Harry Potter broke Bellatrix Lestrange out of Azkaban.” on 2012-04-02
  • dkim126 estimated 50% on 2012-04-02
  • mat33 said ““broke Bellatrix”- Very close, but wrong, still. Dumbledore will realize that Harry Potter “was there” – and that’s about it. He most probably won’t guess what Potter’s part was (exactly). ” on 2012-04-03
  • mat33 said “ Well, Harry himself didn’t understand what all that was about, as yet.” on 2012-04-03
  • ArisKatsaris said “mat, you need to start being more consise and more clear in your stated predictions. Your editorializing and reasoning (“Even dumb” “poor Dementors”, etc) can be inserted as comments, they’re not part of the prediction.” on 2012-04-03
  • mat33 changed their prediction from “HPMoR : ch 85 (or sooner): Even Dumb…Headmaster would realize where and when did Harry had an opportunity not just to terrify poor Dementors, but to gain enough confidence in this achievement.” on 2012-04-03
  • gwern estimated 50% and said “I’ve edited the prediction. dumbledore could assume it was from when a dementor was brought to hogwarts” on 2012-04-03
  • Anubhav said “^ That wouldn’t count as the prediction being correct, would it? He needs to realize Harry was at Azkaban. ” on 2012-04-03
  • ArisKatsaris said “Anubhav, since mat33 decided not to use the word “Azkaban” in his prediction for some reason, these are the stupid ambiguities that arise.” on 2012-04-04
  • Isaac estimated 50% on 2012-04-04
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 50% on 2012-04-04
  • mat33 changed their prediction from “HPMoR : ch 85 (or sooner): Dumbledore will realize where and when did Harry had an opportunity not just to terrify Dementors, but to gain enough confidence in this achievement.” on 2012-04-09
  • Anubhav estimated 5% on 2012-04-10
  • LauralH estimated 40% on 2012-04-11
  • Futschi estimated 25% and said “To be honest, chapter 84 is already out now so its only “Dumbledore will realize..” for the next chapter. Maybe he doesn’t even appear in the next chapter.” on 2012-04-14
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 30% on 2012-04-20
  • HonoreDB   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-04-23.