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HP MoR: ch 85 (or sooner): Headmaster would allow Harry to exploit vulnerabilities of the magic Britain's economics to get out of debt (to Malfoy for his Hermione's “purchase”).

Created by mat33 on 2012-04-01; known on 2012-06-10; judged wrong by HonoreDB on 2012-04-23.

  • mat33 estimated 20% on 2012-04-01
  • Anubhav estimated 40% on 2012-04-02
  • mat33 changed their prediction from “HPMoR : ch 85 (or sooner): Headmaster would allow Harry to exploit valnerabilities of the magic Britain's economics to get out of debt (to Malfoy for his Hermione's “purchase”).” on 2012-04-03
  • gwern estimated 35% and said “lots of plot to get through, making money is not an issue unless the rights of Malfoy turn out to be a plot issueon 2012-04-03
  • Anubhav said “I’d have thought the major uncertainty here is ‘Headmaster allows Harry to make money’, not ‘Harry makes money’.on 2012-04-03
  • mat33 said “Right. “Headmaster allows…” is less probable by far. on 2012-04-03
  • Isaac estimated 30% on 2012-04-04
  • JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2012-04-04
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 30% on 2012-04-04
  • ArisKatsaris estimated 5% and said “The problem with all your predictions is the “chapter 85 (or sooner)” limit. It’s quite likely they won’t even get to discuss the issue of getting out of debt in the remaining two chapters.on 2012-04-04
  • mat33 said ““they won’t even get to discuss” – And so it looks after chapter 83. I guessed in terms of somewhat longer chapters…on 2012-04-05
  • mat33 changed their prediction from “HPMoR : ch 85 (or sooner): Headmaster would allow Harry to exploit vulnerabilities of the magic Britain's economics to get out of debt (to Malfoy for his Hermione's “purchase”).” on 2012-04-09
  • lavalamp estimated 20% on 2012-04-10
  • LauralH estimated 15% and said “not that soonon 2012-04-11
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 5% on 2012-04-20
  • HonoreDB   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-04-23.
  • Sarokrae said “10on 2012-11-27