HPMoR : ch 90 (or sooner): Harry would have to exploit the Dementor/Patronum valnerability to gain the Dark/Light Lordship.

Created by mat33 on 2012-04-01; known on 2013-07-04; judged wrong by ygert on 2013-07-02.

• mat33 estimated 55% on 2012-04-01
• mat33 on 2012-04-01
• gwern said “I don’t follow” on 2012-04-03
• mat33 said “HPMoR : ch 81 and before. Harry thinks, he may render wizards incapable of Patronus spell. And that he may control Dementors, too. He may well be right.” on 2012-04-03
• Isaac estimated 7% on 2012-04-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 10% on 2012-04-04
• mat33 changed their prediction from “HPMoR : ch 90 (or sooner): Harry would have to exploit the Dementor/Patronum valnerability to gain the Dark/Light (what's the difference? ;) ) Lordship.” on 2012-04-04
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 30% on 2012-07-08
• JoshuaZ said “Decision date should be postponed. ” on 2012-08-20
• mat33 said “JoshuaZ Right. For months. But does the system support it?” on 2012-08-20
• JoshuaZ said “Mat33, yes click the edit button and then change the date. ” on 2012-08-21
• mat33 changed the deadline from “on 2012-08-19” on 2012-08-21
• mat33 said “JoshuaZ Thanks” on 2012-08-21
• Mathir25 estimated 45% on 2012-12-06
• mat33 changed the deadline from “on 2012-12-19” on 2012-12-27
• gwern estimated 10% and said “severe conjunction here: has to be done by ch90, the vulnerability has to work (both of them), and he has to use them to become dictator” on 2012-12-27
• ChristianKl estimated 1% on 2013-03-24
• holycow81 estimated 5% on 2013-06-09
• Kurosymph estimated 80% on 2013-06-27
• ygert   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-07-02.
• ygert said “90 is here, this didn’t happen. Marking wrong.” on 2013-07-02