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HPMoR : ch 90 (or sooner): Harry would have to exploit the Dementor/Patronum valnerability to gain the Dark/Light Lordship.

Created by mat33 on 2012-04-01; known on 2013-07-04; judged wrong by ygert on 2013-07-02.

  • mat33 estimated 55% on 2012-04-01
  • gwern said “I don’t followon 2012-04-03
  • mat33 said “HPMoR : ch 81 and before. Harry thinks, he may render wizards incapable of Patronus spell. And that he may control Dementors, too. He may well be right.on 2012-04-03
  • Isaac estimated 7% on 2012-04-04
  • JoshuaZ estimated 10% on 2012-04-04
  • mat33 changed their prediction from “HPMoR : ch 90 (or sooner): Harry would have to exploit the Dementor/Patronum valnerability to gain the Dark/Light (what's the difference? ;) ) Lordship.” on 2012-04-04
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 30% on 2012-07-08
  • JoshuaZ said “Decision date should be postponed. on 2012-08-20
  • mat33 said “JoshuaZ Right. For months. But does the system support it?on 2012-08-20
  • JoshuaZ said “Mat33, yes click the edit button and then change the date. on 2012-08-21
  • mat33 changed the deadline from “on 2012-08-19on 2012-08-21
  • mat33 said “JoshuaZ Thankson 2012-08-21
  • Mathir25 estimated 45% on 2012-12-06
  • mat33 changed the deadline from “on 2012-12-19on 2012-12-27
  • gwern estimated 10% and said “severe conjunction here: has to be done by ch90, the vulnerability has to work (both of them), and he has to use them to become dictatoron 2012-12-27
  • ChristianKl estimated 1% on 2013-03-24
  • holycow81 estimated 5% on 2013-06-09
  • Kurosymph estimated 80% on 2013-06-27
  • mat33 changed the deadline from “on 2013-06-27on 2013-07-01
  • ygert   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-07-02.
  • ygert said “90 is here, this didn’t happen. Marking wrong.on 2013-07-02