HP MoR: ch21: The unheard prophecy by Sybil Trelawney refers to: Hat & Cloak
- gwern estimated 40% on 2012-04-04
- Isaac estimated 60% on 2012-04-05
- Anubhav estimated 50% and said “Yes, my predictions add up to more than 100%. It makes sense in context.” on 2012-04-10
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 30% and said “My predictions add up to more than 100% because of the chance some of the options are the same person. On further reflection, other shenanigans are also possible.” on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 10% on 2012-04-20
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2013-06-30.
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