PredictionBook transitioning to read-only mode at the end of 2023 ( read more ).

HP MoR: ch45: The hint is about what happened to the phoenix Fawkes

Created by gwern on 2012-04-04; known on 2016-01-01

  • gwern estimated 15% on 2012-04-04
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 15% on 2012-04-20
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01on 2015-01-01

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction