HP MoR: Humans can be permanently turned into house-elves
Created by gwern on 2012-04-04; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by lavalamp on 2016-02-02.
- gwern estimated 30% on 2012-04-04
- gwern on 2012-04-04
- gwern changed their prediction from “_HP MoR: Humans can be permanently turned into house-elves” on 2012-04-04
- lavalamp estimated 40% on 2012-04-10
- Anubhav estimated 30% on 2012-04-10
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 1% on 2012-04-20
- gwern estimated 9% on 2015-01-01
- lavalamp judged this prediction wrong on 2016-02-02.