HP MoR: 5 Voldemort Horcruxes are where Harry suggested putting hidden things in ch46

Created by gwern on 2012-04-04; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by Anubhav on 2015-02-24.

• gwern estimated 65% on 2012-04-04
• ahartell estimated 55% and said “Does “The 5 Voldemort Horcruxes” imply that he only has 5?” on 2012-04-09
• gwern said “no, in this case it’s more like ‘there are 5 horcruxes in the locations’, since I’d never give 65% to something so specific that excludes Harry himself :)” on 2012-04-09
• gwern changed their prediction from “HP MoR: The 5 Voldemort Horcruxes are where Harry suggested putting hidden things in ch46” on 2012-04-09
• lavalamp estimated 55% on 2012-04-10
• Anubhav estimated 90% on 2012-04-10
• LauralH estimated 25% on 2012-04-11
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 75% on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 30% on 2012-04-20
• HonoreDB estimated 70% on 2012-04-23
• JoshuaZ estimated 85% on 2012-04-24
• Sarokrae estimated 70% on 2012-11-27
• ygert estimated 8% on 2013-01-02
• 75th estimated 85% on 2013-07-13
• nigr estimated 90% on 2013-08-15
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
• Anubhav   judged this prediction right on 2015-02-24.