HP MoR: the Philosopher's Stone will be mass-manufactured by Harry or at his behest

Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-01-01.

• gwern estimated 30% on 2012-04-05
• gwern on 2012-04-05
• gwern said “a very specific outcome” on 2012-04-05
• spqr0a1 estimated 5% on 2012-04-09
• lavalamp estimated 20% on 2012-04-10
• lavalamp said “It may not be possible or necessary, or Harry may not succeed.” on 2012-04-10
• Anubhav estimated 30% on 2012-04-10
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 10% and said “Seems too easy. I expect there to be some inhibiting factor.” on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 5% on 2012-04-20
• Sarokrae estimated 10% on 2012-11-27
• JoshuaZ estimated 31% on 2012-11-27
• ygert estimated 70% on 2012-12-16
• PlacidPlatypus   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.