HP MoR: Azkaban Island is the last remnant of Atlantis

Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-01-01.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2012-04-05
• gwern on 2012-04-05
• Sarokrae estimated 10% on 2012-04-06
• lavalamp estimated 15% on 2012-04-10
• Anubhav estimated 10% on 2012-04-10
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 8% on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 1% on 2012-04-20
• qznc estimated 5% on 2014-07-14
• gwern estimated 25% and said “Azkaban still hasn’t come up, like, at all…” on 2015-01-01
• PlacidPlatypus   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.