HP MoR: Sybil Trelawney will prophesy the unspoken ch63 prophecy when she comes within earshot of Harry
Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-07-13.
- gwern estimated 60% on 2012-04-05
- gwern said “it matches what we’re told about how Seers work and the incident, but the long absence of Trelawney (Fred & George aside) has made me less certain than before…” on 2012-04-05
- LauralH estimated 5% and said “once seers prophesy, they no longer feel the need” on 2012-04-11
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 50% on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 40% on 2012-04-20
- Sarokrae estimated 50% on 2012-04-29
- gwern said “marking wrong: the prophecy is spoken to Quirrel while nowhere near Harry, as far as we can tell from recent chapters.” on 2013-07-13
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2013-07-13.