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HP MoR: Sybil Trelawney will prophesy the unspoken ch63 prophecy when she comes within earshot of Harry

Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-07-13.

  • gwern estimated 60% on 2012-04-05
  • gwern said “it matches what we’re told about how Seers work and the incident, but the long absence of Trelawney (Fred & George aside) has made me less certain than before…on 2012-04-05
  • LauralH estimated 5% and said “once seers prophesy, they no longer feel the needon 2012-04-11
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 50% on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 40% on 2012-04-20
  • Sarokrae estimated 50% on 2012-04-29
  • gwern said “marking wrong: the prophecy is spoken to Quirrel while nowhere near Harry, as far as we can tell from recent chapters.on 2013-07-13
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-07-13.

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