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HP MoR: Lily Potter did not give Petunia a magic potion, but actually Imperius'ed her.

Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by HonoreDB on 2015-03-14.

  • gwern estimated 15% on 2012-04-05
  • gwern on 2012-04-05
  • gwern said “the stuff about the thestral blood and Dumbledore messing with the potion book has me convinced no imperius was involved” on 2012-04-05
  • Sarokrae estimated 20% on 2012-04-06
  • lavalamp estimated 12% on 2012-04-06
  • ahartell estimated 10% on 2012-04-09
  • Anubhav estimated 0% on 2012-04-10
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 5% on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 1% and said “Why would Petunia have been so ill?” on 2012-04-20
  • HonoreDB estimated 5% on 2012-04-23
  • HonoreDB   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-14.