PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

HP MoR: Lucius Malfoy was, at least initially, Imperiused into becoming a Death Eater

Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 20% on 2012-04-05
  • Sarokrae estimated 15% on 2012-04-06
  • lavalamp estimated 18% on 2012-04-06
  • Anubhav estimated 10% on 2012-04-10
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 3% on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 2% on 2012-04-20
  • HonoreDB estimated 2% on 2012-04-23
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01on 2015-01-01
  • PlacidPlatypus said “I think the absence of conclusive is enough to call this wrong.on 2016-01-01
  • PlacidPlatypus   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.