HP MoR: The Prophecy actually referred to Neville Longbottom and not Harry
Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-26.
- gwern estimated 35% on 2012-04-05
- gwern on 2012-04-05
- gwern said “doubt we’ll ever find out, but I can always ask EY his opinion of predictions I can’t judge in the end” on 2012-04-05
- Sarokrae estimated 10% on 2012-04-06
- ahartell estimated 10% on 2012-04-09
- Anubhav estimated 20% on 2012-04-10
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 2% on 2012-04-20
- Oscar_Cunningham judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-26.