PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

HP MoR: The Prophecy actually referred to Neville Longbottom and not Harry

Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-26.

  • gwern estimated 35% on 2012-04-05
  • gwern on 2012-04-05
  • gwern said “doubt we’ll ever find out, but I can always ask EY his opinion of predictions I can’t judge in the endon 2012-04-05
  • Sarokrae estimated 10% on 2012-04-06
  • ahartell estimated 10% on 2012-04-09
  • Anubhav estimated 20% on 2012-04-10
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 2% on 2012-04-20
  • Oscar_Cunningham   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-26.