HP MoR: The Prophecy as transmitted to Voldemort was faked, modified, altered, or incomplete

Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by nigr on 2016-03-07.

• gwern estimated 55% on 2012-04-05
• lavalamp estimated 65% on 2012-04-06
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 70% on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 30% on 2012-04-20
• Sarokrae estimated 60% on 2012-11-27
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
• PlacidPlatypus   judged this prediction right on 2016-03-07.
• nigr   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-03-07.