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HP MoR: Rita Skeeter was hoaxed into publishing the article by Fred & George Weasley

Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by RobertLumley on 2013-08-05.

  • gwern estimated 85% on 2012-04-05
  • gwern said “note this doesn’t exclude Fred & George hiring someone, obviously, or working with other peopleon 2012-04-05
  • RobertLumley estimated 90% on 2012-04-05
  • Grognor estimated 89% on 2012-04-06
  • Sarokrae estimated 90% on 2012-04-06
  • lavalamp estimated 92% on 2012-04-06
  • ahartell estimated 90% on 2012-04-09
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 90% on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 95% on 2012-04-20
  • RobertLumley   judged this prediction right on 2013-08-05.
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