HP MoR: Rita Skeeter was hoaxed into publishing the article by Fred & George Weasley, and they used Polyjuice Potion to submit the hoax article under Rita Skeeter's name
Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-03-07.
- gwern estimated 10% on 2012-04-05
- gwern on 2012-04-05
- JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2012-04-05
- ahartell estimated 7% on 2012-04-09
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 5% on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 2% on 2012-04-20
- PlacidPlatypus judged this prediction wrong on 2016-03-07.