HP MoR: Rita Skeeter was hoaxed into publishing the article by Fred & George Weasley, and they used Muggle technology to forge the documents
Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-03-07.
- gwern estimated 1% on 2012-04-05
- JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2012-04-05
- lavalamp estimated 2% on 2012-04-06
- ahartell estimated 1% on 2012-04-09
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 1% on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 1% on 2012-04-20
- gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
- PlacidPlatypus judged this prediction wrong on 2016-03-07.